By popular demand
, here are some new maps of the Second District Supervisor race.
Like the ones below
, they compare June results to November results for each of the three candidates. This set, I think, is more intuitive. (But a bit trickier to calculate.)
This time, we just have two colors. Blue is up, red is down. The shading represents the increase or decrease in a candidate’s November showing, as compared to June. The scale goes up to 10 percentage points. So if a candidate went from 20 percent of the vote to 30 percent of the vote in a particular precinct, that precinct will be solid blue. If a candidate went from 40 percent to 30 percent, it will be solid red. In between, in between.
Without further ado…
CLENDENEN:
RODONI:
FENNELL:
This article appears in Glasnost.
Interesting visual, Mostly shows that where Johanna lost the most, Clif gained the most.
Clearly, there was a shift of sentiment in the North. I don’t know how much that might be due to Johanna not being considered as a “clone” for Roger, or Clif winning over voters on his own merits. Maybe some Fortuna area voters will come forward with their assessments.
Also, the largest shifts are all in the North. Southern voters changed much less. Guess their minds weren’t affected as a result of the runoff campaign.
[…] | Tags: Add new tag, election results, Second District Supervisor Thanks to Hank! These maps are very helpful. They show that Clif improved on his June performance pretty much everywhere, […]
Estelle made gains in Fortuna because her campaign focused energy there after the primary. Without a good showing in Fortuna the race is lost.
NAN, it was a curiously low-energy election down here. Heraldo’s right that Estelle kept walking the precincts up north till the final weeks, when she fell back on a “Yes We Can” campaign of assurance to her base down south, which rather suddenly presented her as much more rural, reactive and conservative than before, not that local loyalists cared. But that may have helped her in the northern precincts she captured.
But Clif just kept being pleasant and lantern-jawed, while Johanna mostly made people wonder why she was running. It was a psychological more than political question, which tells you how passionately she came across. This was one crazy election cycle, which I think Clif can work into a safe seat.
If he can work 39% into a safe seat, well, okay. Too bad for SoHum though.
Most all of us have underestimated Clif time after time. Recognizing that, I think it’s possible he’s got what it takes to bring the district much closer together.