Gallegos holds on, conservatives sweep all else.
Or does Cleary still have a fighting chance in the Fifth?
This article appears in The Creepy Carson.
FINAL REPORT
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Gallegos holds on, conservatives sweep all else.
Or does Cleary still have a fighting chance in the Fifth?
This article appears in The Creepy Carson.
11 Comments
Well imagine that! So I didn’t quite hit the sack yet, and decided to check one more time for an update and…drumroll…with all precincts reporting, Gallegos has pulled ahead by about 1,050 votes!
I believe there are something like 1,500 late-arriving mail-in ballots not yet counted, and if that is correct, it seems like Gallegos’ lead of 1,050 votes would be pretty hard for Jackson to make up from just those remaining mail-in ballots that were handed in at the precincts or at the Elections office today. So, while “it ain’t over ’til it’s over” it sure looks a lot better for the Gallegos camp.
It looks like despite my faulty math earlier this evening, things actually played out more or less the way I originally anticipated, with Gallegos’ precinct totals gradually erasing Jackson’s initial lead among mail-in ballots.
Glad to see Hagen’s last-minute tantrum didn’t end up throwing the race to Jackson. Gallegos is far from perfect, but Jackson is even farther!
Holy crap that 5th district vote DID turn out to be very close — only a difference of about 110 votes, with an unknown (to me, anyway) number of as-yet uncounted late-arriving mail-in ballots that were handed in at the precincts or at the Elections office today. My best guess, though, is that these ballots will break pretty much the same way as the earlier set of mail-ins (which itself was not really any different from the in-person vote percentages in this race) and Sundberg will emerge the winner by a margin of somewhere around 100 votes.
Which brings me back to this point:
If Sundberg DOES win, it will be interesting to see whether Lovelace, Neeley and Clendenan will try to push an Option A-style General Plan Update through during the Lame Duck period, before Bass replaces Neeley on the Board. If so, won’t they look like they are trying to thwart the will of the voters as expressed in the most recent election? Could be interesting.
Where are you getting this Paul is holding on info Hank? Humboldt County elections is saying Gallegos less than 40% Jackson almost 60%
Warm up the bulldozers and contracting crews, it looks like there’s a whole new developer in town to build, build, build— and make some money rezoning and profiteering— with the new slate of pro-growth candidates and a citzenry that can be bought and paid for, hoping for a little trickle-down to come to them.
Wanna be a politician? Just have more money than your opponent, that’s all there is to it these days.
I thought elections said there was still alot of absentee ballots to be counted, that wouldn’t be counted on election day?
As always, quite possibly wrong, but….
Aren’t probably 10,000 late-absentee votes outstanding? We should end up with 60-65% turnout, right?
Absentee skewed 2-to-1 for Jackson early.
If she can maintain that edge she’ll win by over 2000 votes.
There are uncounted absentee ballots and of those about 100 are from Hoopa, which Sundberg will get 90%. For Cleary to win the votes must break 65% in his favor, and this will not happen. Close but close only counts in horseshoes.
No, there are nowhere near 10,000 ballots remaining to be counted. I think the figure I saw was more like 1,500.
At any rate, the not-yet-counted late-arriving absentees and provisional ballots tend to more closely track ballots cast at the polls as opposed to the already-counted absentee ballots.
Looks like Gallegos will end up winning by about the 3 percentage points he’s ahead by now.
Okay, I was way, way wrong. There ARE that many uncounted ballots — in fact there are more. But I still think the uncounted ones are going to break in favor of Gallegos, or at least not so much against to erase his lead. But the 5th is definitely still in play.