Fifth Report

As of the 5th report, Jackson is still in the lead in the DA’s race, and now her totals from the precinct counts are higher than Gallegos’ totals from the precincts (in addition to her higher totals in the vote-by-mail ballots).

So she’s having a pretty strong showing and might still end up the top vote-getter tonight, despite my earlier optimism re: Gallegos’ performance. I still think he has a better shot at winning the runoff than her, especially with the potentially somewhat more “liberal” and certainly larger pool of voters in November. And the fact that I think he’ll draw at least 2/3 of the Hagen voters who choose to participate in the runoff.

6th report, with a lot more votes counted, shows Sundberg’s election-day support starting to lag his showing among the vote-by-mail ballots.

At this point the difference is not any larger than would be expected given the usual advantage that candidates supported by more conservative voters tend to have in absentee votes.

If the gap between his mail performance and his precinct performance widens to a chasm, then I may suspect that the revelation over his DUI probably did some significant damage.