There’s a bit about it in this week’s paper, which is hitting the streets around Eureka and Arcata right now, but we’ll put it up here for debate and discussion.
Former Arcata City Councilmember Elizabeth Conner has taken herself out of the race for Third District Supervisor.
Lee Ulansey of Kneeland is in, though. He’s the head of the Humboldt Coalition for Property Rights, the group formed to oppose proposed changes to building on lands for timber production zones. It looks like Ulansey will be the sole conservative in the race.
Also, Chris Lehman of Arcata has officially announced that he’ll be running for the Third District seat. He’s a Democrat and a Humboldt County local who has worked as a legislative aide and a fundraiser for State Senator Don Perata.
Meanwhile, Arcata City Councilmember Paul Pitino, Bay District Commissioner Mike Wilson and activist Mark Lovelace are all still in the race as of right now. The deadline for filing is 5 p.m. today.
This article appears in Parting the Redwood Curtain.
“Conservative” must be one of the most grossly misused words in US politics.
Hank, how about some analysis / guesstimating of the vote. What are the numbers for conservative and liberal voters in the third district? Is it possible for Ulansey to take the seat with liberal votes split?
No need to work Hank on that one. The top two vote-getters in June will run off in Novemeber, which makes it impossible for anyone other than a liberal to win the seat.
10:41 raises a good point. But the June election will probably become a run-off in November with the top 2 running against each other.
So if one candidate gets 51% of the vote, there is a run-off between 2 candidates anyway?
As I understand it, if a candidate wins 51%, then there would not be a run-off.
OK, so I again ask, what’s the ratio of liberal to conservative voters? If it’s close to 50-50, it’s possible for Ulansey to win in the first round.
No. I don’t think it’s possible for Ulansey to get more than 50 percent of the vote in District 3.
Anything is possible. You mean that you think it’s unlikely.
January voter registration stats for the 3rd District are as follows:
Democrats 45%
Republicans 18%
Greens 8%
Decline to State 25%
All the rest 4%
So, it’d be hard for a rightward leaning candidate to get 51% in the primary, I’d guess. They’d have to get all of the Republicans, all the declines to state, plus another 8%. Of course, that assumes that everyone who is registered votes, or at least all vote in proportion to the registration.
I’ll be surprised if Ulansey garners as much as a third of the vote in the primary.
Check the update, y’all.