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  1. For Cleary to overcome the lead that Sundberg has he would have to pull votes at a level that he did not achieve on election night. There are 5687 permanent absentee voters in the 5th and 2212 were counted by election night as reported on the first report. If the level of absentee voting were to be at 75% then there would be an additional 2053 ballots to be counted in the 5th. For Cleary to pass Sundberg he would need 55% of those votes and Sundberg would get 45%, an unexpected change of pattern. We also know that at the Hoopa pricinct, there were 100 absentee ballots, which would be nearly 90% for Sundberg. With that in mind, Cleary would need to pull nearly 60%, and that is most unlikely.

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