North Coast Journal > blogthing > Harbor District Predictions
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by HANK SIMS — Nov. 3, 9:12 a.m. — filed under politics
Harbor District Predictions
Proving my powers of prognostication, or lack thereof. Remember: This is not a substitute for actual voting. Vote today!
THIRD DIVISION
Wilson: 60%
Hauser: 40%
FOURTH DIVISION
Marks: 50%
Ash: 32%
Penn: 18%
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comments
by Bob Doran — Nov. 3, 9:54 a.m.
Do you have a prediction on voter turnout?
by Hank Sims — Nov. 3, 10:07 a.m.
Low.
by Eric Kirk — Nov. 3, 11:39 a.m.
Between 20 and 25 percent, which I think actually benefits Wilson this time around.
by Andy Alm — Nov. 3, 1:31 p.m.
What data are your predictions based on? I always thought journalistic credibility was based on some sort of facts…
by Jonathan — Nov. 3, 1:37 p.m.
What about those of us that have been told we dont have a polling place, to mail in our vote, and then we loose the ballot.
whats the deal with polling places not being available to certain areas… arcata, trinidad…?
by Hank Sims — Nov. 3, 1:52 p.m.
Jonathan: Call county elections ASAP. They’ll sort you out. 445-7678.
Andy: Gut instinct, more or less! Sorry! Look what happens when I let facts and figures get in the way! (Though I called the Third almost exactly in that one, please note).
by Eric Kirk — Nov. 3, 8:22 p.m.
“What data are your predictions based on? I always thought journalistic credibility was based on some sort of facts… ”
Aside from the fact that your sentence doesn’t make sense, this is a blog posted for fun. And predictions are mostly based upon gut feeling based upon past elections and a number of intangibles in the present campaign. And they can be surprisingly accurate.
by Hank Sims — Nov. 3, 8:43 p.m.
While we wait for results, I’m going to go ahead and make the fatal error of adjusting my prediction.
I’m going to say Wilson by five more points — 65-35 — and more Penn, less Ash.
by Hank Sims — Nov. 3, 8:43 p.m.
While we wait for results, I’m going to go ahead and make the fatal error of adjusting my prediction.
I’m going to say Wilson by five more points — 65-35 — and more Penn, less Ash.
by Jennifer Savage — Nov. 4, 6:19 a.m.
72-28, Wilson, Hauser.
47-36-17, Marks, Ash, Penn. You were pretty close on that one, Hank.
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